Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.403112 4.079095 4.834892 5.739686 6.790374 7.968900 9.387630
2025-06-29 2.369604 3.209832 4.250414 5.622146 7.369632 9.506997 12.302775
2025-07-06 1.762273 2.649683 3.847317 5.556009 7.900519 10.969554 15.248705
2025-07-13 1.479689 2.428329 3.803019 5.894430 8.938969 13.141990 19.298102
2025-07-20 1.235884 2.197020 3.682225 6.074377 9.741497 15.041268 23.136013
2025-07-27 1.076082 2.055195 3.656962 6.368823 10.715679 17.247858 27.583849
2025-08-03 0.895845 1.837509 3.466982 6.362739 11.207260 18.761889 31.119405
2025-08-10 0.717997 1.583485 3.168158 6.123052 11.278253 19.611289 33.684294
2025-08-17 0.580690 1.374479 2.909245 5.905182 11.342369 20.430127 36.236998
2025-08-24 0.495089 1.249989 2.783222 5.901093 11.760278 21.844244 39.838877
2025-08-31 0.426514 1.146246 2.678691 5.918120 12.208178 23.332659 43.659661
2025-09-07 0.362747 1.038478 2.546934 5.860607 12.504926 24.572068 47.132797
2025-09-14 0.289480 0.891449 2.309854 5.563943 12.327441 24.977943 49.234044
2025-09-21 0.246460 0.810384 2.204524 5.527308 12.652850 26.323389 53.108905
2025-09-28 0.210099 0.737504 2.104691 5.486964 12.962894 27.660060 57.058835
2025-10-05 0.198785 0.733758 2.171580 5.830075 14.101869 30.661716 64.297527
2025-10-12 0.180622 0.704556 2.169232 6.011049 14.911073 33.077229 70.580727
2025-10-19 0.169081 0.693360 2.211736 6.303717 15.989408 36.099264 78.211462
2025-10-26 0.147332 0.642004 2.136909 6.297983 16.401582 37.805096 83.382481
2025-11-02 0.121130 0.566422 1.979573 6.060541 16.259139 38.356824 86.299700
2025-11-09 0.099877 0.501391 1.839107 5.844663 16.139990 38.940269 89.306440
2025-11-16 0.087311 0.465957 1.780912 5.840619 16.523773 40.617872 94.643169
2025-11-23 0.076868 0.435632 1.732808 5.857496 16.959162 42.435296 100.374630